Truth Behind The Science

The science behind the global response to the Covid-19 pandemic

Is it really true?

"It can be deadly, and it has been deadly here and around the world in people of all age groups and, indeed, people that are in otherwise good health”

By Juergen Ude : 13th February 2021

For all the European countries analysed there were no significant unusual, registered deaths for those below 40 years of age. The countries were Bulgaria, Czechia, Belgium, Denmark, Germany, Estonia, Greece, Spain, France, Croatia, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Hungary, Malta, Netherlands, Austria, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovenia, Slovakia, Finland, Sweden, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Montenegro, Albania, Serbia, Andorra, Armenia, Georgia.

The charts below show examples of total registered deaths for the 20 to 40 age groups covering the first wave. Similar patterns apply to lower age groups.

BIS.Net Analyst Change Analysis used in Covid-19 analysis
Figure 1: Belgium
BIS.Net Analyst Change Analysis used in Covid-19 analysis
Figure 2: Denmark
BIS.Net Analyst Change Analysis used in Covid-19 analysis
Figure 3: Netherlands
BIS.Net Analyst Change Analysis used in Covid-19 analysis
Figure 4: Spain
BIS.Net Analyst Change Analysis used in Covid-19 analysis
Figure 5: UK
BIS.Net Analyst Change Analysis used in Covid-19 analysis
Figure 6: France
BIS.Net Analyst Change Analysis used in Covid-19 analysis
Figure 7: Italy
BIS.Net Analyst Change Analysis used in Covid-19 analysis
Figure 8: Total registered deaths for all ages for the UK

There were no out-of-upper control limit deaths for all countries except the last two and these were prior to 2020.

As a source for comparison, Figure 8 shows total registered deaths for all ages for the UK. Here we can see out-of-control deaths during the first wave, but not the last.

For the USA, the situation is a little different. We found no unusual numbers of registered deaths for people below 25, confirming the virus does NOT kill young and old alike. 33 states also had no unusual, registered deaths for the below 44-year-old age group. The rest had some.

Although other countries, such as in Asia, Middle East and Africa were not analysed due to difficulties in attaining the data the results of the analysis show that stating the virus is deadly in all age groups is not a given. It is understood that taking the above statement literally is not completely untrue because there are always exceptions, but the way it is expressed implies high probability and makes the virus appear far more deadly than it is.

There have been reports in Sweden that deaths for those below 70 without comorbidities is almost zero. This adds to the suspicion that covid-19, apart from exceptions, is generally only deadly for unhealthy people. The many scary symptoms one hears about do appear to be negligible relative to total registered death numbers.

Covid-19 Analysis Report

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* The information is dependent on the reliability of the information sources. Links have been given throughout for the reader to verify the contents. There has been no use of models made to prove points. Readers can download data from Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional and EuroStat perform the analysis independently. Many charts use our own technology to display underlying trends and scatter. More information on our technology please visit https://www.bisnetanalyst.com/knowledge-center

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Dr Juergen Ude has a certificate in applied chemistry, a degree in applied science majoring in statistics and operations research as top student, a masters in economics with high distinctions in every subject, and a PhD in computer modelling and algorithms. He has lectured at Monash University on subjects of data analysis, computer modelling, and quality & reliability.

Prior to founding his own company (Qtech International Pty Ltd), Dr Ude worked as a statistician and operations researcher for 18 years in management roles having saved employers millions of dollars through his AI and ML algorithms. Through Qtech International, Dr Ude has developed data analysis solutions in over 40 countries for leading corporations such as Alcoa, Black and Decker, Coca-Cola Amatil, US Vision and many more. Additionally he has developed campaign analysis software for politicians.